Currency Wars: Predictable?

https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/).
Core assumption: In the last 30 years or so, Currency appreciation/devaluation in China (Y) is correlated to US S&P change (S), US Trade deficits change (T), US Government debt change (D) and US GDP change (G). Discuss each variable and indicate which variable might be inter-dependent and possibly be carrying effects of causality.

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